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Home Oil & Gas Electricity Metals Treasuries Stocks My Portfolios Forex
News - Full Story
 Related Quotes
 Apache Corporation  19.73   0.40  1.99%
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 Occidental Petroleum Corporation  26.61   0.14  0.52%
 Enter Symbols: 
Big Oil Missed This, Now It Could Be Worth Billions
FN Media Group Presents Oilprice.com Market Commentary

LONDON, Jan. 15, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- In Namibia, an African venue that is being set up as the scene of the world's next-and possibly last-major onshore oil discovery, the oil and gas rights to an entire 8.5-million-acre sedimentary basin are owned by a single, small company. Mentioned in today's commentary includes: Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: OXY), Kinder Morgan, Inc. (NYSE: KMI), Equinor ASA (NYSE: EQNR), Apache Corporation (NASDAQ: APA), Crescent Point Energy Corp. (NYSE: CPG).

Now, Wood Mackenzie, the most trusted name in oil and gas resource assessments, has issued a report stating that this same basin is analogous to three world-class basins, including the $540-billion Midland Basin in Texas.

One of the most respected petroleum geochemists in the world, Dan Jarvie, came out of retirement for this play and believes this could be one of the largest oil basins worldwide, and his conservative estimate is that it could hold over 100 billion barrels of oil.

Just 40 days from now, the first well should be complete …And just a few weeks after that, the analytical results should start coming in. A discovery barely moves the needle on an integrated supermajor that's typically involved in drilling a basin of this scope and scale.

But for a junior, even the start of a drill can have maximum impact on share prices… And the junior company stealing the show is Reconnaissance Energy Africa (RECO.V, RECAF).

#1 This 'African Permian' Play Is Considered Analogous to the Midland Basin

Massively underexplored Africa is most likely the only place in the world left where we can possibly anticipate a major onshore oil and gas discovery. If that ends up being Namibia--all the more exciting. This under-explored country has never produced a single barrel of oil in its history. Either onshore or offshore and has excellent fiscal terms and infrastructure.

Exxon (XOM) has already scooped up an additional 7 million net acres offshore …But onshore, it's all about Recon Africa, which strategically swooped in to acquire the rights to the entire Kavango sedimentary basin from Namibia all the way to Botswana. That's a basin over 8.5 million acres, almost the size of Switzerland.

When Kavango first came to the world's attention a few years ago, another world-renowned geologist and geophysicist, Bill Cathey, who works with the oil and gas supermajors, studied the basin and said: "Nowhere in the world is there a sedimentary basin this deep that does not produce commercial hydrocarbons."

Then, Jarvie, a key force behind the Barnett Gas play and former chief geochemist for EOG Resources, jumped in on RECO as a shareholder because he saw a "very strong, independent junior explorer… sitting on a sedimentary basin that rivals South Texas in a massively underexplored region". Jarvie's own estimates 100+billion barrels of oil equivalent are based only on 12% of Recon Africa's (RECO.V, RECAF) total holdings.

#2 Analyst Coverage Is Decidedly Bullish-It Just Nearly Doubled

Haywood is all over this one. In early November, Haywood initiated coverage with a short-term $2.50 price on RECO because the company is "set and funded to de-risk a potentially material resource play onshore Namibia and Botswana with 1,348 mmbbls/58.1 Tcf, a conservative estimated prospective recoverable resource (gross)."

In arriving at its 12-month target price of $2.50/share, Haywood has risked this upside potential by a 6% chance of commercialization. In other words, they're playing it uber-cautious with the $2.50 price tag. But in December Haywood raised its short term price target to $4.00 per share.

More to the point, Haywood recommended "accumulating a position ahead of drilling/evaluation news flow in H1/21 aimed at proving up the presence of a working hydrocarbons system, which if confirmed, should provide abundant opportunities for further exploration and appraisal drilling".

Haywood is also hanging on Dan Jarvie's expertise here, with good reason. So, given the scale of the basin--again, we're talking about 8.5 million acres--a discovery would present manifold opportunities for strategic joint ventures for further de-risking--without share equity dilution. And now, that story just got even better ….

#3 Drilling Just Started ….

With the drill bit just hitting the ground on this massive African Permian play, If Dan Jarvie Is Right, RECO could end up going from a small-cap to a multi-billion-dollar company.

Torridon Investments has also initiated coverage, calling Recon Africa (RECO.V, RECAF) a "corporate story with a dedicated and internationally first-class management and technical team".

The catalysts are all there, with the drill bit already hitting the ground in a 6-2 well spud. By the second half of this year, it's likely RECO will already be in JV discussions if drilling goes as planned.

#4 This is the grand oil lottery

This is the oil lottery, but Recon Africa (RECO.V, RECAF) is not your average wildcatter. This is something entirely different. This is one of those oil opportunities that almost never comes around. This is a "high-conviction play", according to Torrindo's coverage, with a basin that is "one of the most significant underdeveloped basins of such depth globally".

Recon Africa has put together a veritable "who's who" exploration and technical team to move this project forward with some of the most qualified and successful oil "finders" in the business.

  • Jay Park, RECO COB and director, is a veteran energy lawyer with tons of Africa experience and was designated Queen's Counsel in Canada in 2011. He's advised oil companies and governments in 50 countries, and he has a following of the best of the best.
  • Scot Evans CEO, Geologist, new fields expert, is an energy industry leader with a combined 35 years of experience with Exxon, Landmark Graphics and Halliburton.
  • Daniel Jarvie is globally recognized as a leading analytical and interpretive organic geochemist of Barnett Gas fame, and "Hart Energy's Most Influential People for the Petroleum Industry in the Next Decade."
  • Nick Steinberger, a world-class drilling completion expert and manager of the drilling company; yes Recon Africa owns its own rig that if picked up for a song in the downturn
  • Bill Cathey is a geophysicist to the supermajors, including Chevron, ExxonMobil, ConocoPhillips … major and large

This is the best of the best--all of them confident in the chance of discovering the largest oil play in the last 20 to 30 years.

Oil Majors Are Making Moves In The Market, As Well

Norwegian oil and gas giant Equinor ASA (EQNR) is one of a handful of oil companies that managed to turn a profit in the tumultuous market after its oil storage bet paid off big time. Equinor reported a surprise adjusted net income of $646M for the second quarter, trouncing Wall Street's expectations for a loss of $250M thanks to huge trading profits despite a huge 53 percent plunge in revenue to $8.04B.

Equinor has has taken a technology-driven approach to the oil price crash in a way that few other companies have been able to. It's even brought the "remote" work idea to its oil rigs. Equinor's Valemon, situated 160km from land, contains about 192 million barrels of oil equivalent. Its remote employees are expected to spend two weeks a year on the vessel to familiarize themselves with the space, alleviating some of these safety concerns.

While Equinor's share price was hit hard in March 2020, it is already trading near its January 2020 prices thanks to its innovative approach to the crisis. And as the green push accelerates, Equinor may emerge as one of the most balanced energy companies in the business, making it particularly appealing as many other oil companies fall out of favor with investors.

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) had a particularly turbulent 2020. Like all other oil firms everywhere in the world, Occidental struggled with the weak oil and gas prices, which impact the value of its proved and unproved oil and gas reserves.

The crisis even lead to the collapse of a key deal in which Total was to buy Occidental's assets in Ghana. The collapsed deal was another blow to Occidental, which was relying on the sale of Anadarko's African assets to receive a total of US$8.8 billion that could partially reduce the huge debt it had accumulated to buy Anadarko in what analysts now see as an ill-timed decision to pursue such a huge and leveraged transaction.

With the troubles of 2020 in its rear-view mirror, the company is looking to capitalize on the inevitable rebound in oil. And it's already beginning to materialize. Since November, Occidental stock has already risen by 100%, and this rally could kick into high gear in the coming months.

Major North American pipeline operator Kinder Morgan (KMI) has been particularly upbeat in recent months. In fact, in early December, it issued optimistic updates ,planning higher dividends and expecting more profits in 2021, after the challenges the oil industry has faced this year.

Kinder Morgan also expects to raise its dividend for 2021 by 3 percent compared to this year. The company expects the board to declare a Q4 dividend of US$0.2625 per share or US$1.05 annualized. The board expects the 2021 dividend to be US$1.08 per share annualized, or a 3-percent increase from the 2020 dividend.

It was an interesting 2020 for Apache Energy (APA) investors, to say the least. Late in 2019, it fired its iconic VP of worldwide exploration, Steven Keenan after disappointing exploration results offshore Suriname, which was supposed to turn into another wild ride like Exxon's series of discoveries just across the maritime border in Guyana.

Despite the downturn, Apache still managed to beat other key players in the shale patch-but all eyes are now on Suriname, exactly where they should be. This is history in the making, and the upside is looking good.

Crescent Point Energy Corp. (CPG) was another Canadian oil producer that struggled in the oil price crisis of last year. The mid-cap company saw its share price tumble from a January high of $4.56 to an all-time low of just $0.70 as oil demand dissipated and prices tumbled into the negatives in a historically bad first-quarter. The terrible year forced the company to lower output and capex forecasts for 2021.

Despite its struggles, however, Crescent has seen its share price climb significantly over the past month. In fact, it has even received a 'strong buy' signal from analysts at Zack's thanks to its strong price performance and improving technical.

Matt Murphy, an analyst with energy research firm Tudor Pickering Holt explained, "There will be a bit of incremental growth in excess of this record," adding, "Our model shows the oil sands getting to 3.3 million bpd by the middle of 2021."

By. Cliff Shrew

**IMPORTANT! BY READING OUR CONTENT YOU EXPLICITLY AGREE TO THE FOLLOWING. PLEASE READ CAREFULLY**

Forward-Looking Statements. Statements contained in this document that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements that involve various risks and uncertainty affecting the business of Recon. All estimates and statements with respect to Recon's operations, its plans and projections, size of potential oil reserves, comparisons to other oil producing fields, oil prices, recoverable oil, production targets, production and other operating costs and likelihood of oil recoverability are forward-looking statements under applicable securities laws and necessarily involve risks and uncertainties including, without limitation: risks associated with oil and gas exploration, timing of reports, development, exploitation and production, geological risks, marketing and transportation, availability of adequate funding, volatility of commodity prices, imprecision of reserve and resource estimates, environmental risks, competition from other producers, government regulation, dates of commencement of production and changes in the regulatory and taxation environment. Actual results may vary materially from the information provided in this document, and there is no representation that the actual results realized in the future will be the same in whole or in part as those presented herein. Other factors that could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements are also set forth in filings that Recon and its technical analysts have made, We undertake no obligation, except as otherwise required by law, to update these forward-looking statements except as required by law.

Exploration for hydrocarbons is a speculative venture necessarily involving substantial risk. Recon's future success will depend on its ability to develop its current properties and on its ability to discover resources that are capable of commercial production. However, there is no assurance that Recon's future exploration and development efforts will result in the discovery or development of commercial accumulations of oil and natural gas. In addition, even if hydrocarbons are discovered, the costs of extracting and delivering the hydrocarbons to market and variations in the market price may render uneconomic any discovered deposit. Geological conditions are variable and unpredictable. Even if production is commenced from a well, the quantity of hydrocarbons produced inevitably will decline over time, and production may be adversely affected or may have to be terminated altogether if Recon encounters unforeseen geological conditions. Adverse climatic conditions at such properties may also hinder Recon's ability to carry on exploration or production activities continuously throughout any given year.

DISCLAIMERS

ADVERTISEMENT. This communication is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Oilprice.com, Advanced Media Solutions Ltd, and their owners, managers, employees, and assigns (collectively "the Company") have been paid by Recon seventy thousand U.S. dollars to write and disseminate this article. As the Company has been paid for this article, there is a major conflict with our ability to be unbiased, more specifically:

This communication is for entertainment purposes only. Never invest purely based on our communication. We have not been compensated but may in the future be compensated to conduct investor awareness advertising and marketing for RECO. Therefore, this communication should be viewed as a commercial advertisement only. We have not investigated the background of the company. Frequently companies profiled in our alerts experience a large increase in volume and share price during the course of investor awareness marketing, which often end as soon as the investor awareness marketing ceases. The information in our communications and on our website has not been independently verified and is not guaranteed to be correct.

SHARE OWNERSHIP. The owner of Oilprice.com owns shares of this featured company and therefore has an additional incentive to see the featured company's stock perform well. The owner of Oilprice.com will not notify the market when it decides to buy more or sell shares of this issuer in the market. The owner of Oilprice.com will be buying and selling shares of this issuer for its own profit. This is why we stress that you conduct extensive due diligence as well as seek the advice of your financial advisor or a registered broker-dealer before investing in any securities.

NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH and consult with a licensed investment professional before making an investment. This communication should not be used as a basis for making any investment.

DISCLAIMER: OilPrice.com is Source of all content listed above. FN Media Group, LLC (FNM), is a third party publisher and news dissemination service provider, which disseminates electronic information through multiple online media channels. FNM is NOT affiliated in any manner with OilPrice.com or any company mentioned herein. The commentary, views and opinions expressed in this release by OilPrice.com are solely those of OilPrice.com and are not shared by and do not reflect in any manner the views or opinions of FNM. FNM is not liable for any investment decisions by its readers or subscribers. FNM and its affiliated companies are a news dissemination and financial marketing solutions provider and are NOT a registered broker/dealer/analyst/adviser, holds no investment licenses and may NOT sell, offer to sell or offer to buy any security. FNM was not compensated by any public company mentioned herein to disseminate this press release.

FNM HOLDS NO SHARES OF ANY COMPANY NAMED IN THIS RELEASE.

This release contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended and such forward-looking statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. "Forward-looking statements" describe future expectations, plans, results, or strategies and are generally preceded by words such as "may", "future", "plan" or "planned", "will" or "should", "expected," "anticipates", "draft", "eventually" or "projected". You are cautioned that such statements are subject to a multitude of risks and uncertainties that could cause future circumstances, events, or results to differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements, including the risks that actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors, and other risks identified in a company's annual report on Form 10-K or 10-KSB and other filings made by such company with the Securities and Exchange Commission. You should consider these factors in evaluating the forward-looking statements included herein, and not place undue reliance on such statements. The forward-looking statements in this release are made as of the date hereof and FNM undertakes no obligation to update such statements.

Contact Information:
Media Contact e-mail: editor@financialnewsmedia.com, U.S. Phone: +1(954)345-0611

Cision src=https://c212.net/c/img/favicon.png?sn=LN49705&sd=2021-01-15 View original content:http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/big-oil-missed-this-now-it-could-be-worth-billions-301208975.html

SOURCE Oilprice.com

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